Thursday 19 January 2017

Federal Bank – Another Strong Quarter

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We had recommended Federal Bank to our investors on September 30, 2016 when the scrip was trading at Rs 72. After our recommendation Federal Bank had posted strong financial performance for the September 2016 quarter. With the demonetisation taking place in between (On November 8, 2016) a lot of volatility was seen in the Indian equity markets (with a negative bias). With demonetisation taking place Banks were asked to focus on the change of currency and the overhang of lesser currency in markets was expected to impact the GDP growth as well. Hence Banks that were already reeling under the pressure had another challenge. However the results of comparatively smaller banks like IndusInd Bank and South Indian Bank indicated that there is hardly any impact of De-monetisation on the banks. And if Federal Bank results are anything to go by, it seems that the Smaller Banks are comparatively better placed than the larger peers.

Federal Bank for the quarter ended December 2016 (Q3FY17) has posted a strong performance on all the operational and financial parameters both on YoY and QoQ basis.

Operational Performance

On the operational front, the Operating profit of the Bank increased by 45.91 percent YoY to reach Rs. 474.90 crore as on December 31, 2016. The Net Profit increased by 26.39 percent YoY to reach Rs. 205.65 crore. Federal Bank earned a Net Interest Income (NII) of Rs 791.39 crore for the Q3FY17. The Net Interest Margin of the Bank stood at 3.32 percent showing and improvement of 1 basis point on Q-o-Q basis and 28 basis points on Y-o-Y basis.

Particulars
Q3FY17
Q3FY16
% y-o-y growth
Net Interest Income
791.39
605.69
é30.66%
Other Income
263.33
182.82
é44.04%
Net Total Income
1054.72
788.51
é33.76%
Operating Profit
474.90
325.48
é45.91%
Net Profit
205.65
162.72
é26.39%
Rs in Crore
As regards the deposits and advances growth, CASA ratio improved to 34.66 percent as against 31.04 percent in September 2016 (On Expected line with Cash Deposits occurring due to Demonetisation). On the advances front, traction was visible on segments like retail, Agri, SME and Wholesale. Total advances for December 2016 stood at Rs 70439 crore as against Rs 65439 crore in September 2016.

Asset Quality – Improves Despite Pressure

The Gross NPA and Net NPA of the Bank as at the end of the Quarter stood at Rs 1951.55 crore and Rs 1102.37 crore respectively. Gross NPA as a percentage reduced to 2.77 percent (2.78 percent in September 2016) and Net NPA as a percentage to Net Advances stood at 1.58 percent (1.61 percent in September 2016). The Provision Coverage Ratio (including technical write-offs) is 71.01 percent.

While it may not look very good on superficial levels, there is lot to look at for detailed numbers. Like fresh accretions were only Rs 273 crore as against Rs 386 core in Q3FY16. Further it is the retail and SME Segment exposure that contributed to major increase in Gross NPAs. However we feel that scenario is expected to improve in both segments. Hence we would be surprised to see a significant improvement on slippages front in March 2017 quarter.

Overall the performance has been really good for the quarter and we maintain our target price of Rs 94.

Financial Highlights

Business Figures
As on 31.12.2016
(Rs. in Crore)
As on 31.12.2015
(Rs. in Crore)
Growth
(%)
Total Deposits
92235.65
74792.04
é23.32%
SB & Demand Deposits
32817.19
                               24439.60
é34.27%
Net Advances
69629.22
52752.81
é31.99%   
Retail Advances
21309.78
16774.91
é27.03%  
SME Advances
16323.99
14032.91
é16.33%
Agri Advances
6774.65
6062.09
é11.75%  
Investments
28519.93
24647.33
é15.71%
Capital



Equity Capital
344.43
343.67

Net Worth
8601.24
8223.66
é4.59%  
Capital Adequacy (%)
12.28%
14.32%

Tier I (%)
11.63%
13.74%

Tier II (%)
0.65%
0.58%

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