Tuesday 6 December 2016

ONGC - Technical Breakout

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Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) is an Indian multinational oil and gas company headquartered in Dehradun. It is a Public-Sector Undertaking (PSU) of the Government of India, under the administrative control of the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. Company is specializing in the exploration and production of crude oil and gas. The Company has joint ventures in oil fields in Vietnam, Norway, Egypt, Tunisia, Iran and Australia. The Group's other activities include deep sea explorations on the east and west coasts of India, and the exploration of coal bed methane. ONGC is likely to show better price performance in near term supported by good fundamentals and technical breakout.

On chart, yesterday stock price has hit 52 weeks of Rs. 299.75, also stock price is up by 20% in last 1 month, looks stock is in spectral uptrend, thus we feel   that there is still some more left and the rally is likely to continue. On a different time, scale at daily, weekly & monthly chart, stock price is making higher tops and higher lows pattern and trading above 20DMA (280), 50DMA (275) and 100DMA (255) respectively, suggesting it has potential up move in upcoming trading sessions, indicate positive outlook for the stock price.
Technically on daily chart, stock price at. Rs. 298.75 has given a breakout of rounding pattern at Rs. 297.70 level, and it’s moving towards northward direction, indicate ongoing bullish rally in the stock price, which will take stock price towards Rs. 328, which is 10 percent on upside. Applying other indicator on the chart like Bollinger Band (BB) we find stock price at Rs. 298.75 is ridding the ‘Upper Bollinger Band’ and the bands are widening, thus indicating positive momentum.

Momentum Oscillator, MACD (Moving Average Convergence & Divergence) on higher chart has given a positive crossover art, favouring the bullish view, which could witness the ONGC marching higher.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) 14-week on a weekly and monthly chart are in rising mode and not yet overbought, which has more room left on upside. The 14-week RSI also trade above its 9-week EMA, which is positive signal, indicate better perform in the weeks to come.
If one were to go by the volume data, then more up move seen on the stock price.

Looking towards the chart pattern and study i.e. Bollinger Band, RSI and MACD, we believe stock price may extend its rally towards Rs. 328/348 levels, whereas Rs.285 will act as a strong support level on a closing basis.


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