Tuesday, 29 November 2016

Power Finance Corporation - Technical Outlook

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Power Finance Corporation funds power projects in India. The Company serves state power utilities, central power sector utilities, power departments, private power sector utilities, joint sector power utilities, power equipment manufacturers, and municipal power utilities. The company has successfully carried out developments, which is likely to show better performance, not only supported by good fundamental but also technical breakout. Last month company has announced its September quarter results which was in line with street estimate. Thus, we feel that this company is expected to provide good returns to investor portfolio.

On chart, stock prices are volatile. The stock made a 52-weeks’ low of Rs. 70.12 in February 2016, then price hit to 52 weeks’ high of Rs. 133.80, in the month of November 2016, up by 90 percent from its 52-weeks’ low. Currently, stock price is trading at Rs. 132.10, near the 52-weeks high, any trade above the same stock price can rally another 20 percent.
Taking place on different time scale at weekly & monthly chart, stock price is making higher tops and higher lows pattern and trading above 20DMA (121), 50DMA (121) and 100DMA (111) respectively, suggesting it has potential up move in upcoming trading sessions, indicate positive outlook for the stock price.
This week on a daily chart it also broken out of the long bullish pattern of inverted head and shoulder at Rs. 127.75 level and it’s moving towards northward direction, which will take it towards Rs. 177 level. Applying other indicator on the chart like Bollinger Band (BB) we find stock price at. Rs. 132.10 is trading above the upper band of BB, besides band is widening, indicating positive momentum.
Momentum Oscillator, MACD (Moving Average Convergence & Divergence) on a weekly chart, is on the verge to give positive crossover, favouring the bullish view, which could witness the Power Finance Corporation (PFC) marching higher.

The psychological sentiment towards the stock remains positive. If one were to go by the volume data, a higher upswing is seen on the stock price.

The stock is also looking positive on the higher chart, which foretells well for the long-term uptrend of the stock. We believe the stock has the potential to move higher in the coming weeks and therefore recommend a buy at CMP and adding more on dips.


Looking towards the chart pattern and study i.e. Bollinger Band, RSI and MACD, we believe stock price may extend its rally towards Rs. 170 levels, whereas Rs. 114 will act as a strong support level on a closing basis.


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