Here, let’s take a look at how Warren Buffett finds value in stocks by asking himself some questions when evaluating
the relationship between a stock’s level of excellence and its price.
The first question to be asked is, whether the company has consistently
performed well. Buffett always looks at the Return on Equity (ROE) to see
whether or not a company has consistently performed well in comparison to other
companies in the same industry. Note that looking at the ROE for only the past year
isn't enough. Investors should consider the ROE for the past 5-10 years to get
a good idea of the company’s historical performance.
Secondly, check whether the company has avoided excess debt. Buffett
prefers to see a small amount of debt, so that the earnings growth is being
generated from shareholders’ equity as opposed to borrowed money.
The third factor to look at is whether the profit margins are too high
and whether they are increasing. The profitability of a company depends not
only on having a good profit margin, but also on consistently increasing this margin.
To get a good indication of the company’s historical profit margins, investors
should look back into its records for at least a 5-year period.
The fourth factor is how long the company has been public. Buffett
typically considers only companies that have been around for at least 10 years.
As a result, most of the technology companies that have had their initial
public offerings (IPOs) in the past decade wouldn't get onto Buffett's radar. Further,
he states that one should never underestimate the value of historical
performance as it demonstrates the company’s ability (or inability) to increase
shareholder value.
The fifth factor is whether the company’s products rely on a commodity.
It is likely that you think of this question as a radical approach to narrowing
down on a company. However, Buffett sees this question as an important one. He
tends to shy away (though not always) from companies whose products are
indistinguishable from those of their competitors. If the company does not
offer anything different from what is offered by another firm within the same
industry, there is little that sets the company apart.
Last but not the least is whether the stock is selling at a 25 per cent
discount to its real value. This is the clincher. Finding companies that
meet the other five criteria is one thing, but determining whether or not they
are undervalued is the most difficult part of value investing and Buffett’s
most important skill.
Sounds easy, doesn’t it? Of
course, Buffett's success depends on his unmatched skill in accurately
determining this intrinsic value. While we can outline some of his criteria, we
have no way of knowing exactly how he gained such precise mastery in calculating
value. If we try to follow the first 5 factors, we may be able to avoid some
bad investments.
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